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Scenario 20 - Outdoor Plant/tree Diseases - Consumer, 2000
Method 2, Confidence medium
Active
Ingredient (a)
Total pounds
applied to lawns
and outdoor
plants/trees
(thousands) (a)
Total pounds applied to lawns and
outdoor plants/trees (thousands) (b)
Application
Rate for Outdoor
Plant/trees
(lbs/100 gal) (c)
Outdoor
Plant/tree
Acres Treated
(thousands)
(calculated) (d)
Probability
(calculated) (e)
Outdoor
plants/trees
Lawn
Chlorothalonil 600 300 300 1.0 300 24%
Captan 280 280 0 1.2 233 19%
Triforine 80 80 0 0.4 213 17%
Other 1,040          
Thiophanate methyl 200 200 0 1.0 200 16%
Mycobutanil 50 50 0 0.3 167 13%
Sulfur 390 390 0 5.6 70 6%
Other 400 100 300 1.5 67 5%
  2,000 1,400 600   1,250  
  1. Kline (Hall and Dansbury, 2000). Active ingredients listed in "other" category are identified by Kline but pounds are not given;
    these were estimated based on judgment.
  2. Split of each active ingredient into lawn vs. outdoor plants/trees was based on judgment.
  3. Hagan et al. (1993)
  4. Pounds applied divided by application rate. We assume that 100 gallons of finished spray is applied to an acre, a common assumption.
  5. Acres treated for each active ingredient divided by total acres treated.