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Scenario 22 - Indoor Plants (Insects Only) - Consumer 1980
Method 5, Confidence medium
Manufacturer
(a)
Sales
($ millions) (a)
Active
Ingredients (b)
Percent of
Manufacturer's
Sales (b)
Sales
($ millions)
(calculated)
Active
Ingredients (c)
Sales
($ millions) (c)
Ortho 1.5 Rotenone 10.0% 0.15 Rotenone 0.15
Pyrethroids and
pyrethrins
90.0% 1.35 Pyrethrins 0.50
Allethrin 0.21
Resmethrin 0.21
Tetramethrin 0.21
Other 0.22
Dexol 1.5 Nicotine 50.0% 0.75 Nicotine 0.75
Methoprene 50.0% 0.75 Methoprene 0.75
Other 2.0 Pyrethroids 37.5% 0.75 Allethrin 0.25
Resmethrin 0.25
Tetramethrin 0.25
Pyrethrins 37.5% 0.75 Pyrethrins 0.75
Dysiston 12.5% 0.25 Dysiston 0.25
Orthene (acephate) 12.5% 0.25 Acephate 0.25
Total 5.0     5.0    
Active
Ingredient (d)
Sales
($ millions) (e)
Probability
(calculated) (f)
Probability
(adjusted) (g)
Pyrethrins 1.25 25% 38%
Nicotine 0.75 15% 15%
Methoprene 0.75 15% 15%
Allethrin 0.46 9% 14%
Tetramethrin 0.46 9% 14%
Resmethrin 0.46 9% 14%
Acephate 0.25 5% 8%
Dysiston 0.25 5% 5%
Rotenone 0.15 3% 3%
Other 0.22 4% 9%
  1. Kline (Anonymous, 1982)
  2. Based on descriptive information in Kline (Anonymous, 1982) plus judgment.
  3. Sales for each active ingredient were assigned based on information in the Kline report (Anonymous, 1982) and judgment.
  4. Eliminating duplicates.
  5. Combining active ingredient sales across all manufacturers that produce it.
  6. Sales of each active ingredient divided by total sales ($5 million).
  7. Probabilities for pyrethrins, allethrin, tetramethrin, and "other" active ingredients were adjusted up to reflect their presence in multiple products.