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Scenario 5 - Lawn Insects - Consumer, 1976
Method 7, Confidence low
  Sales (a)
($ million) %
Lawn products 12 15%
Other products: 69 85%
Garden 56 69%
Nonplant 13 16%
Total 81 100%
Products (a) Active
Ingredient
% of Sales (b) Probability
for Lawns
(calculated) (c)
Lawn Outdoor plants
Leading
Products
Diazinon Diazinon 5.0% 14.0% 33%
Chlorpyrifos Chlorpyrifos 4.0% 3.0% 27%
Malathion Malathion 1.0% 11.0% 7%
Carbaryl Carbaryl 1.0% 6.0% 7%
Orthene Acephate 1.0% 6.0% 7%
Tetrapropyl ester Tetrapropyl ester 1.0% 2.0% 7%
Other Other 2.0% 6.0% 13%
Secondary
Products
Dylox Trichlorfon   2.4%  
Dimethoate Dimethoate   2.4%  
Disulfoton Disulfoton   2.4%  
Metasystox Oxydemeton-methyl   2.4%  
Methoxychlor Methoxychlor   2.4%  
Lindane Lindane   2.0%  
Other
Products
Pyrethrins Pyrethrins   3.0%  
Kelthane Dicofol   2.0%  
Rotenone Rotenone   2.0%  
  Total   15.0% 69.0%  
  1. Kline (Ramsey and Kollonitsch, 1977)
  2. Active ingredient percentages are based on judgment, with the condition that the sum across active ingredients for lawns equals 15% and the sum across outdoor ingredients for outdoor plants equals 69% (from "Sales, %" column).
  3. Percent of sales for each lawn active ingredient divided by the total percent of sales for lawns (15%).