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Scenario 9 - Outdoor Plant/tree Weeds - Consumer, 1976
Method 5, Confidence low
Manufacturer (a) Sales
($ million) (a)
Major
Brands (a)
Active
Ingredient (a)
Sales
($ million) (b)
Ortho 2.5 Weed-B-Gone 2,4-D 1.0
Poison Ivy Killer MCPP 1.0
2,4,5-T 0.5
Fenoprop 0.5
Bensulide 0.5
Amchem 0.5 Weedone 2,4-D 0.2
MCPP 0.2
Chloramben 0.1
Swift 0.5 Vigoro, Swift 2,4-D 0.2
MCPP 0.2
Dicamba 0.1
Occidental 0.5 Best 2,4-D 0.2
MCPP 0.2
Dicamba 0.1
Other 4.0 Unknown Similar to above 4.0
  8.0      
Active
Ingredient (c)
Sales
($ millions) (d)
Probability
(calculated) (e)
2,4-D 1.6 40%
MCPP 1.6 40%
2,4,5-T 0.5 13%
Fenoprop 0.5 13%
Bensulide 0.5 13%
Chloramben 0.1 3%
  1. Kline (Ramsey and Kollonitsch, 1977). The major brands and active ingredients associated with "other" manufacturers are unknown. However, we believe that the "other" manufacturers used the same active ingredients, in the same proportions, as the knowns.
  2. Based on judgment. For example, we judged that 40% of the Amchem Weedone products contained 2,4-D (40% of $0.5 million = $0.2 million), 40% contained MCPP, and 20% contained chloramben.
  3. Eliminating duplicates.
  4. Combining active ingredient sales across all products in which it appears.
  5. Active ingredient sales divided by total sales by manufacturers whose products and active ingredients are known ($4 million).