The Cost of False-Positive Results: A Personal History - Dr. Allen Wilcox
Sholom Wacholder Distinguished Lecture
October 8, 2020 | 10:30 AM – 11:30 AM
Online via Webex
Allen Wilcox, M.D., Ph.D.
Epidemiology Branch/Reproductive Epidemiology Group
National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences
We assure ourselves that “science is self-correcting.” This makes it sound as if self-correction is automatic – but of course, it is not. It is work, often unappreciated, and requiring energy and expense that is diverted from other research. I reflect on my own contribution to the literature of false-positive findings, and on my pursuit of interesting findings by others that could not be replicated. I will end with a discussion of Sholom’s 2004 paper on false-positive report probabilities to suggest how epidemiologists might avoid conclusions that turn out not to be replicable.
Hormuzd A. Katki, Ph.D., Senior Investigator
Biostatistics Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology & Genetics, National Cancer Institute
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